I was in Raffles Junior College this morning to attend a talk by a Harvard Admission Officer. Some Harvard Alumni member was also present there and together the both of them shared some rather interesting information about Harvard University.

I shall pick out the interesting part.

Harvard College admitted 1656 people last year. Around 27000 people applied to Harvard.

So your chances of entering Harvard = (1656 ÷ 27000) ≈ 0.061333 = 6.13%
Meaning for every 100 applications that Harvard receives, only around 6 people get admitted and the remaining 94 people are rejected.

Okay. That’s grim enough. But that’s not all. Ms Melanie also said international students (non-US citizens) make up around 10% of the intake.

So for international applicants like most of you and me, your chances of being admitted to Harvard = (0.061333 ÷ 10) = 0.0061333 ≈ 0.613%

And that means for every 100 international applicants, less than 1 gets admitted into Harvard.

Of course Harvard can’t admit every international student from the same country right? They need some diversity. The Harvard alumnus was kind to give some vital statistics. Every year around 5 Singaporeans, 4 Chinese, and 5-7 Indians are admitted into Harvard. From Malaysian newspaper report, I know that there is only 1 Malaysian from Kajang that got admitted into Harvard for this coming intake.

So for that sole Malaysian who got into Harvard, he defeated some rather steep odds against the other Malaysians.

His chances (and mine) of entering Harvard = (1 ÷ 27000) ≈ 0.000037037 = 0.0037%

Ok, to be fair, 3 Malaysians were admitted into Harvard the previous year. But the fact still remain, it’s still extremely hard to enter Harvard. Using this statistic of 3 Malaysians, my chances will be (0.0037 x 3) ≈ 0.0111%

There are 5 Singaporeans who got admission into Harvard, so your chances (if you are a Singaporean) of entering is roughly (0.0037 x 5) = 0.0185%

Let’s compare this to buying a 4 digit lottery in the corner gambling shop. Your chances of winning the first prize is [1 ÷ (10 x 10 x 10 x 10)] ≈ 0.0001 = 0.01%

So for me, the prospect of me gaining admission into Harvard is almost close to none. It’s like me buying a 4D number and hoping that I’ll win the first prize when the results are announced.

The Harvard alumnus also said that Singapore has a very disproportionate representation in Harvard. For a nation of around 4million people, the percentage of people being admitted for any single year is around (5 ÷ 4 000 000) ≈ 1.26 x 10-4%

As for China and India, the representation is only around (5 ÷ 1 000 000 000) ≈ 5 x 10-7%

So no wonder Harvard is so famous. It’s famous for rejecting so many people. And those that does gain admission into Harvard, they are rather set for life cause there are just simply too little people with a Harvard degree.

If the chances of me being admitted into Harvard are comparable to that of winning the first prize of a 4D lottery, then should I even consider applying? People say don’t waste your time and money buying the lottery. This is nearly the same thing. Now do you still want to try your luck entering Harvard?